Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 101.109967 111.684637 122.467721 134.260446 146.769069 159.617007 173.786164
2025-11-30 85.100402 100.928102 117.781851 136.954650 158.053025 180.460357 205.954514
2025-12-07 71.724628 91.115117 112.623471 137.979266 166.788794 198.257358 234.981695
2025-12-14 59.980088 81.588492 106.527946 136.924296 172.472679 212.268766 259.727672
2025-12-21 52.070365 75.500440 103.540811 138.733169 180.916926 229.116219 287.616348
2025-12-28 46.748842 71.864303 102.914378 142.887609 191.809236 248.658811 318.649213
2026-01-04 41.513619 67.687722 101.101828 145.179353 200.184149 265.100359 346.058315
2026-01-11 37.578212 64.747492 100.470132 148.629656 209.759135 282.869576 375.046878
2026-01-18 33.929517 61.774890 99.460537 151.333220 218.232022 299.229012 402.368677
2026-01-25 27.913149 54.738662 92.453550 145.763905 215.898596 302.102521 413.203370
2026-02-01 23.506838 49.560352 87.541216 142.556334 216.240192 308.019922 427.555787
2026-02-08 20.360975 45.959928 84.542773 141.662852 219.371268 317.278786 445.939648
2026-02-15 18.027422 43.467090 83.035962 142.802032 225.263996 330.224107 469.241500
2026-02-22 16.879363 42.870877 84.293079 147.811951 236.373748 349.944075 501.229324
2026-03-01 15.214003 41.151917 83.699318 150.099604 243.794211 364.969023 527.426781
2026-03-08 13.155475 38.422729 81.318970 149.641247 247.373720 374.983764 547.305284
2026-03-15 11.859540 36.979246 80.861249 151.917201 254.673504 389.858020 573.439458
2026-03-22 11.109905 36.537284 81.981271 156.522317 265.228618 409.067711 605.240877
2026-03-29 10.079213 35.357299 81.774029 159.062872 272.871298 424.455016 632.197754
2026-04-05 9.334236 34.690039 82.366638 162.783818 282.173962 442.074746 662.109207
2026-04-12 8.533183 33.775203 82.455949 165.684827 290.304539 458.162910 690.111748
2026-04-19 6.654580 29.920845 77.073841 159.792140 285.634113 456.936191 695.462729
2026-04-26 5.347889 27.155822 73.403439 156.395277 284.401286 460.223726 706.634137